Friday, July 10, 2020

LATEST: Coronavirus updates from Norway

LIVE UPDATES

We have the LATEST live updates from the coronavirus outbreak in Norway!

Norway was early on rather sure that the pandemic would not really be much of a problem in Norway.

When this was found to be wrong, they changed their approach and the Norwegian approach is more aggressive than the Swedish. Quite early they closed the borders and schools, and introduced a limited lockdown of the country. They also test a lot of people.

However, there are reports that Norway doesn’t put in too much effort in saving the elderly, like when an elderly man in a nursing home in Bergen got sick and were taken to hospital. After being in the hospital for some time, the hospital found out that he was infected with COVID-19 and he was then sent back to the nursing home to die, where he also died one week later.

Numerous of the deaths in Norway take place in nursing homes.

Norway has stated that people that die in nursing homes, might not be included in the reported number of deaths, meaning that the real death rate probably is higher.

Norway has made estimates of how this will develop in terms of hospitalizations and intensive care treatment, but the reality has been worse than even their worst-case scenario. VG.no reports that their worst-case scenario, if no measures were taken to stop the virus estimated that 50-90 persons would need intensive care treatment as of 30 March. However, in spite of not letting it spread but introducing a limited lockdown to stop the spread – 104 persons were in intensive care on March 30.

Norway was also very optimistic about how the virus would spread and according to Vg.no estimated that less than 100 persons would be infected by Easter. However already on 30th March, Norway had recorded 4,454 cases

Total number of cases: 8,707. Total number of deaths: 244.

18 June


Norway BANS contact tracing app due to privacy concerns

Read the whole article here.

29 May


Norway now has 236 coronavirus deaths.

Norway has reported just 1 death the last 7 days.

Of the 236 deaths, the average age is 82.

18 May


Norwegian state epidemiologist heavily criticises the Swedish strategy: “It’s too dangerous. Sweden goes against the rest of the world.”

The Norwegian state epidemiologist, Frode Forland, has in an interview heavily criticised the Swedish approach to the coronavirus pandemic.

He describes the Swedish strategy as being “dangerous”.

“New studies indicate that the dark numbers are not as high as Johan Giesecke (the former Swedish state epidemiologist) and Anders Tegnell (current state epidemiologist in Sweden) say. With such a high mortality rate, it is too dangerous to hope for a controlled spread,” Frode Forland says.

Frode further states that “Sweden goes agains the rest of the world”.

Johan Giesecke, the former Swedish state epidemiologist and advisor to the WHO, has said that Sweden is right, whilst all other countries tackle the coronavirus outbreak in the wrong way.

Frode heavily criticises this statement, saying that “He should be more humble. There is a lot that we do not know about the virus.”

At the time of writing this, Sweden has over 3,700 coronavirus deaths compared to 233 in Norway.

[Source] [Source2]

11 May


Coronavirus deaths per 1 million inhabitants – Scandinavia.

28 April


Coronavirus deaths per 1 million inhabitants – Scandinavia.

23 April


Lockdowns are about solidarity with the older generation.

Even though there are many not reported cases and deaths, the picture is very clear; For most under 50 – COVID-19 is not big problem. For older people – it is a killer.

Until 10th of August UK has reported:

Dead 0-49 years: 251 – Over 50: 10,084

Sweden has reported so far:

Dead 0-49 years: 34 – Over 50: 1,987

Looking at the death rate it seems to be for:

25 year olds – around 1 in 3000

48 year olds – around 1 in 1000 to 1 in 2500

Taking into account underlying conditions – it will be even lower for healthy people.

However for older people it is a killer. As we saw, among people over 50 in UK, over 40 times more has died, than among people under 50. And in Sweden 58 times more.

Of course without ICU the death rate would be higher even among the young.

In Sweden it is estimated that 0.8% of people aged 40-49 have needed ICU treatment. However with it, most of them have made it.

Looking at Norway: (Based on their estimate that the real number of infected are 3 times the recorded number.)

As of 23rd April: 20-29 years old:

0.7% have been hospitalized.

0.09% have needed ICU.

None have died.

40-49 years old:

2.6% have been hospitalized.

0.6% have needed ICU.

None have died.

60-69 years old:

6.3% have been hospitalized.

2.3% have needed ICU.

0.4% have died.

70-79 years old:

9.4% have been hospitalized.

2.8% have needed ICU.

2.5% have died.

Deaths 0-49 years: None. Over 50: 180

80-89 years old:

8.8% (only) have been hospitalized.

1.3% (only) have been given ICU….

6.4% have died.

90 + years old:

3.6% (only) have been hospitalized.

0% have been given ICU….

16.5% have died.

And to add: 50-59 years old:

3.4% have been hospitalized.

1% have been given ICU

Men: 0.3% have died.

Women: 0 % have died.

The picture from Sweden, Norway and UK are clear.

Under 50 – COVID-19 is not a very big deal. (At least as long as ICU are not overloaded.)

But over 70 – it is a killer.

This is what lockdowns are about solidarity with the older generation.

That said, the government should consider changing them as they now ask young people that will not benefit much from lockdowns to make big financial sacrifices, whilst they that benefit from the lockdown, will probably have the same pension as before and not need to sacrifice.

As such there is a risk that younger people might loose respect for the lockdowns. One size does not fit all.

Maybe the solution is a heavy lockdown for people over a certain age, with help from the government with food deliveries and so on, and a much less heavy lockdown for younger people.

Or do you have a better solution ?

20 April


Coronavirus deaths per 1 million population in the Nordic countries.

19 April


The coronavirus development in Scandinavia in a graph:

16 April


Analysis: Why is Norway tackling the coronavirus outbreak better than Ireland, even though Ireland has a much HARDER lockdown?

As we wrote in our other article, a lockdown in a non-authoritarian state will only work if the people are onboard.

So, has the lockdown worked so far in Ireland?

Comparing Ireland to Norway, Ireland has now almost 10,000 cases and over 300 deaths, whilst Norway has only 6,500 cases and 128 deaths.

This means that Ireland (with about the same population) has almost 3x the deaths in Norway.

And to add, Norway has done 126,000 tests whilst Ireland has only done 53,000 tests.

So Norway has much better numbers than Ireland.

So, why is Norway better off even though Ireland has a much harder lockdown?

It’s down to what the people do.

In Ireland, there are numerous of reports of people breaching the lockdown rules.

And that the supermarkets are more crowded than usually (which is maybe because it’s the only place they are allowed to go).

And, the Irish are generally much more social than the Norwegians.

And what about Norway?

The Norwegians seems to take the virus more seriously than the Irish.

  • The Norwegian lockdown is more respected. Maybe because it still gives people freedom to move, not locking them into solitary confinement in their houses.
  • Add to it that many Norwegians have social distancing as standard, even without a lockdown, and it is easy to see why it has worked better.

A lockdown in a non-authoritarian state works only if the people are onboard.

If a lockdown works is down to people, not the government.

A lockdown can be hard, or not. If it works is down to what the people do.

Read more about this topic here.

14 April


6,623 cases and 139 deaths now.

11 April


Highest unemployment rate since the 1930s

The Norwegian Prime Minister Erna Solberg has said in an interview that the unemployment rate in Norway at the moment is the highest since the 1930s, and that the coronavirus is “the absolutely most difficult and most demanding” crisis she have handled.


Coronavirus found at several eldery care homes.

It has now been found coronavirus cases at 23 different eldery care homes in Oslo.

10 April


Why do some lockdowns work while others not?

Read more here.

6 April


Norwegian Health Minister: We have the coronavirus under control.

The Norwegian Health Minister, Bernt Høie, has said today that Norway have the coronavirus under control now.

Norwegians that are infected by the coronavirus infects now on average only 0,7 other people.

“That means that we have the coronavirus under control” says Høie.

If correct, it will mean that the number of coronavirus cases will no longer increase, but instead start going down.

The director for the Health Department, Camilla Stoltenberg, says that this is “a good step forward”, but also points out that the calculations may not be correct.

Norway has taken a much more agressive approach than Sweden, and early on they closed the borders, schools and introduced a limited lockdown.

Reports from Norway says that the Norwegians are very good at following the social distancing rules.

“We look at each other from the windows” one source tells. “We keep good distance to each other” he continues.

This might be the reason Norway has tackled the outbreak quite well.

Norway has to date 5,761 cases and 76 deaths.

5 April


Health authorities recommend all Norwegians who have symptons or have been in contact with an infected person to use face mask now.

The Norwegian health authorities has recommended all Norwegians who have been in contact with an infected person or have symptons, to use face masks now.


Norway reports 134 new cases and 7 new deaths today.

The total numbers are now 5,686 cases and 69 deaths.

4 April


Norway currently have 5,595 cases and 62 deaths.

3 April


Norway reports 170 new cases and 8 new deaths.

The total numbers are now 5,295 cases and 56 deaths.


According to FHI in Norway, the average age of the first 42 deaths is 83 years. The youngest who have died so far was 51-years-old.

2 April


A hairdresser in Oslo got a fee of 20,000 NOK (almost $2,000) for receiving customers despite the lockdown, reports NRK.no


316 in hospital now and 96 in intensive care.


246 new cases in Norway today and 4 new deaths, taking the total number to 5,125 cases and 48 deaths.

1 April


The first person in the Ålesund region (Ålesund is pictured in the photo above) has died by the coronavirus. The vicitim was an eldery woman, who died on a care center on tuesday evening.

31 March


Statistics from Norway today.

  • 4,633 cases
  • 39 deaths
  • 319 in hospital
  • 97 in intensive care
  • 90,432 tested so far

30 March


Norway currently have 4,454 cases and 32 deaths.

We start this liveblog now!

Overview:

Norway was early on rather sure that the pandemic would not really be much of a problem in Norway.

When this was found to be wrong, they changed their approach and the Norwegian approach is more aggressive than the Swedish. Quite early they closed the borders and schools, and introduced a limited lockdown of the country. They also test a lot of people.

However, there are reports that Norway doesn’t put in too much effort in saving the elderly, like when an elderly man in a nursing home in Bergen got sick and were taken to hospital. After being in the hospital for some time, the hospital found out that he was infected with COVID-19 and he was then sent back to the nursing home to die, where he also died one week later.

Numerous of the deaths in Norway take place in nursing homes.

Norway has stated that people that die in nursing homes, might not be included in the reported number of deaths, meaning that the real death rate probably is higher.

Norway has made estimates of how this will develop in terms of hospitalizations and intensive care treatment, but the reality has been worse than even their worst-case scenario. VG.no reports that their worst-case scenario, if no measures were taken to stop the virus estimated that 50-90 persons would need intensive care treatment as of 30 March. However, in spite of not letting it spread but introducing a limited lockdown to stop the spread – 104 persons were in intensive care on March 30.

Norway was also very optimistic about how the virus would spread and according to Vg.no estimated that less than 100 persons would be infected by Easter. However already on 30th March, Norway had recorded 4,454 cases

Paul Imanuelsen
Paul Imanuelsen
Paul Imanuelsen is the founder and main writer for Latest from Europe. He is a Swedish photographer and the author of 5 books.

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